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Polling voodoo? Predicting the US election

Pioneer of aggregated polling, Nate Silver, predicted the outcome of the vote in every state in the US elections. Is this the dawn of a new era of poll prediction or just luck?

Ruth Alexander looks at the other winner the US elections. Blogger and pioneer of aggregated polling, Nate Silver, predicted the outcome of the vote in every state one better than 2008. Others who have tried similar methods have also done well. Is this the dawn of a new era of poll prediction or just luck?

(Image: Barack Obama and Mitt Romney cookies, Credit: Getty Images)

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10 minutes

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Sat 10 Nov 2012 23:50GMT
BBC World Service Online

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  • Sat 10 Nov 2012 13:50GMT
    BBC World Service Online
  • Sat 10 Nov 2012 23:50GMT
    BBC World Service Online

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